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The squad was announced at 7pm to the sound of massed intake of breath from Arsenal fans everywhere as Ramsdale returns but no Tierney nor Pépé in the squad at all. Apparently, the former may be out for the rest of the season. International football strikes again. Martinelli is only on the bench following his Brazil debut, along with Swanson, Flores, Ogungbo from the U23’s. It is the first time I can remember where Palace’s bench looks significantly stronger than Arsenal’s. Doesn’t bode well! For Palace, Zaha is fit to play, and I fully expect him to put on his best Greg Louganis impression.

First Half

Palace start strongly, pressing all over the pitch and creating mild disarray in the Arsenal defensive ranks as early as the second minute. One such piece of pressing though, nearly backfires in the third minute with a quick break from Arsenal as Palace press, just let down by poor final pass from Laca. Despite this, Palace are clearly beginning to dominate and their fans, who don’t need any invitation to create an incredible noise. In the 10th minute, Zaha’s chronic inner-ear problem has already manifested itself twice. A player with such skill but just so irritating. 

After all the pressing and our marked lack of composure all over the pitch, the seemingly inevitable came to pass in the 17thminute.  And in many ways it was the exemplar of how badly we had played up until that point..  Gallagher lofted the ball way to the back post from a free kick. Two Arsenal defenders…well, don’t defend with Tavares performing some kind of a dying swan act to allow his man to head it back to some other bloke to score. I fear for Arsenal now.

Palace 1  Arsenal 0

Quite possibly shaken by his part in the first goal, Tavares is beginning to look like Bambi on ice when the ball comes near.

Then in 24th minute Gabriel again decides that tonight we are at home to Mr Cock-Up and charges forward to cut out a pass into Ayew but misses, while Tavares stands on like a bloke admiring the cut of his suit in a shop window reflection… and Ayew passes it into the net.

Palace 2  Arsenal 0

The end of the first half arrives. Palace have turned Arsenal from wild beasts into carrion in the first 45 minutes. Our only hope is that Palace can’t keep up this tempo in the second half, and that we can’t be so bad.

Second Half

Unsurprisingly, Tavares is taken off at half time and Martinelli is brought on with Arsenal moving Xhaka to left back. It has to be said, not a resounding vote of confidence in Tavares after his last outing against Nottingham Forest in which he was equally undistinguished.   

In the 53rd minute, Partey gets a yellow for a foul on Schlupp and for a number of minor fouls when totalled up, I suspect. We then begin to see some better football being played by Arsenal with Martinelli on. 

Zaha continues to perform like the prima donna in Swan Lake. On roller skates. With a wonky wheel. He really is among the most frustrating and irritating players I can remember watching. So much skill and yet he’s constantly playing up to the “most fouled player in the league” soubriquet. Of course, that is a misnomer as having the most free-kicks given for you is not quite the same thing.

The good period from Arsenal continues and we have a couple of decent efforts from Saka and ESR. On 66 mins Cedric is taken off for Nketiah and on 67 mins – another piece of smooth fast paced passing results in Ødegaard screwing the ball past the post. Much better now and Palace possibly wilting. But is it too late?

And then in the 72nd minute Bambi finally gets what he wants when the slightest of contact in the box results in a penalty. I have no problem with this being a penalty. But only if the same standard of contact is adhered to every time. 

Palace 3 Arsenal 0

Before the re-start the clearly injured Partey is replaced by Lokonga. Before the end, Nketiah hits the bar at 3-0 and if it weren’t for bad luck we’d have no luck at all. Game over.

Conclusions

We are now well and truly in a poor position. Seemingly both first-choice full backs are injured, the second choice left back frankly shouldn’t start again this season. Partey looks like he’s out for a while. Pépé is not even on the bench for who knows what reason? We still have some winnable games ahead of us. However, it isn’t the defeat so much as the manner of the defeat which is the concern for me.

On Monday evening we resume our league programme after the interlull and begin the run-in to the end of the season. It is a crucial period which could end in our regaining a place in the Champions League or at its worst may consign us to a place in the Europa Conference League. If we finish lower than that we will have experienced a major meltdown.

We are well-placed, already in fourth place with games in hand on our main rivals Tottnumb and ManUre with WetSpam below them and preoccupied by a place in the last eight of the Europa League. We have to play all of these sides in the run-in, two of them away and there is no cause for any complacency if we are to finish the season well. Our last result was a very encouraging and deserved win at Aston Villa where our defensive performance and general control of the match in a tense atmosphere was very reassuring. Palace’s recent form  has shown a very definite uptick with comfortable wins against Watford and Wolves away and a very impressive 0-0 draw at home to Citeh, the team from the blue half of Manchester. Their last defeat saw them succumb to a last minute goal from Ziyech of Chelski. This indicates how tough they currently are to beat.

Crystal Palace come into the game on Monday in disturbingly good heart. Their last game saw them trounce Everton 4-0 in the sixth round of the FA Cup and a Semi-Final at Wembley against the Chavs awaits. I have several friends who are Palace fans and this forthcoming semi is very much their preoccupation. One mate was giving me fearful stick at the start of the season and I had to remind him that his club have never won a major trophy unless you count the Zenith Data Systems Cup over thirty years ago. They’ve never played in Europe although they’ve come close to winning the FA Cup on two occasions, both of which saw them matched with the team from the red half of Manchester and Truro, Ipswich, Bridgewater and Shoreham.

This is a fixture I have attended regularly for years. The first match report of the new GHF website, was if you remember, an account of our 1-1 draw in January 2020, where Aubameyang scored early and then was sent off in the second half. A deflected Ayew shot tied the game up but we defended manfully to secure a point. I referred to the game as ‘Life through an Arsenal letterbox’ because the view from the Arthur Wait stand is restricted (severely) and any balls going high into the air disappear from view. Visiting Selhurst Park is like entering a time warp which takes you back to the seventies. The ground is primitive and desperately in need of upgrading, there are still majorettes (remember them?) welcoming teams onto the field, which Palace enter to the strains of ‘Glad All Over’ while an eagle flies around the pitch. The crowd are noisy, enthusiastic and the place tends to jump when Palace do well. It can be a tough place to visit.

A lot of pre-game publicity suggests Selhurst is an unlucky venue for Arsenal. I saw us lose 3-0 in 2017, but that was our only defeat there since November 1979 and those two defeats are the only two we have suffered there. We’ve lost more at home to them most painfully the 3-2 defeat which cost us Champions League qualification under Unai Emery when Mustafi produced one of his most catastrophic performances. In recent seasons no game at the Palace has ever been as easy as the 5-1 victory on our first league visit in 1969, when it was very hard to contain my excitement surrounded by Palace fans! We did win 3-1 last season with late goals from Martinelli and Pepe clinching victory. Zaha is a perennial thorn in our side as is Benteke and in the home match this season we snatched a late draw in the infamous match where Mike Dean failed to punish a blatant kick on Saka by McArthur with a red card.

Embed from Getty Images

Palace are of course managed by a true Arsenal legend in Patrick Vieira. My Palace friends wish Arteta every success because they love the style of football played by Palace nowadays after the sterile fare served up by Woy Hodgson’s teams and don’t want him to replace Arteta at Arsenal. Exciting players like Conor Gallagher, Olise, Eze and Zaha flourish in the new environment, Guehi and Anderson together with new England cap Tyrick Mitchell form a stern defensive barrier as Citeh found and Mateta, a January signing is proving a more consistent scorer as a forward option than Benteke. There are suggestions that Zaha, who missed the Ivory Coast match against England with a hamstring strain may not be risked and Olise who is apparently interesting Arsenal, is a doubt too. Given the significance of the semi-final and the fact that Palace are twelfth in the table with 34 points it is unlikely they will take too many chances with injured players. But Patrick will not regard a match against Arsenal as anything other than a fixture to be won and it will be a very hard game.

At a distance it is not clear if the interlull produced much in the way of injuries. Ramsdale is apparently 50-50 to return, Saka has had Covid but is apparently recovered and ESR is being managed carefully after injury but did figure from the bench for England. Many of our team have been playing far away from home so a Monday fixture may be a blessing in disguise allowing more recovery time. Tomayisu may return but might start from the bench.

I’d anticipate a team like this:

Leno 

Cedric White Gabriel Tierney 

Partey Xhaka 

Saka Odegaard Martinelli 

Lacazette 

Subs – Okonkwo , Tomayisu , Holding Elneny , Lokonga , Nketiah , ESR 

Our form away from home has been extremely encouraging and a major contributory factor to our healthy  position in the table . We have won our last five away matches and if we make it six on Monday that will be a hugely positive step forwards. I expect both United and S***s to win their home matches so the pressure is on 

The Holic pound 

Arsenal are a skinny 10/11 to win on Paddy Power but a better bet is the 15/2 available for a 2-0 or 2-1 win to Arsenal. As Palace always seem to score against us I’m going for a 2-1 win for the good guys from North London. But a nervy evening awaits!

I shan’t see the game live as I have a committee meeting on Monday night but will record it for later consumption. I hope all Holics have a splendid evening and that we can take another bold step towards the Chsmpions League.

Several years ago we had a lengthy discussion on the Goonerholic blog about Stan Kroenke. It would be fair to say that it was a concerned and slightly acrimonious discussion because we were speculating on whether it would be better if Kroenke or Alisher Usmanov was the owner of Arsenal Football Club. That was not the extent of the discussion because it was framed by the knowledge that a club that we had traditionally considered ourselves superior to were dining at Europe’s top table because of the patronage of a Russian oligarch, Roman Abramovich, who had purchased Chelsea in 2003 and built them into a highly successful operation.

As Chelsea regularly won trophies and challenged for major honours, boosted by regular and oligarch-funded largesse the natives of N5 were restless and frustrated. Recent events cast those discussions in a different light. The sanctioning of Abramovich and Usmanov by the UK government has emphasised the concern that the source of the funding for Chelsea’s success was highly dubious, possibly criminal and certainly sprang from a relationship with one of the most ghastly leaders in post-war history. 

I thought it would be interesting to look at the way in which Arsenal fans have reacted to the changing appreciation  of their owner, Stan Kroenke In the light of the revelations concerning the Soviet oligarchs and their connections with the Kremlin. Given the very clear change in the fortunes and direction of Arsenal could we consider whether Kroenke is someone who could potentially lead Arsenal to much happier and more successful  times in the future ? 

The American connection 

Stan Kroenke first became involved with Arsenal in 2007. He was introduced to the club by David Dein, who perturbed by Abramovich ‘parking his tanks on the lawn and firing £50 notes at us’ felt that Arsenal needed shareholders who could enable the club to compete with Chelsea and other ‘financially doped’ clubs ( to use a Wengerism ) who would follow, searched around for big hitters who would take Arsenal to the next level. 

Kroenke made his initial fortune in real estate but then considerably boosted his financial prospects by marrying an heiress to the WalMart fortune. His emergence as an Arsenal shareholder came when he purchased Granada’s 9.9% stake in the club and increased this over time to 12.9%. Peter Hill-Wood the Arsenal Chairman was publicly dismissive of Kroenke suggesting that the club did not welcome ‘his sort’. It was a delightfully typical remark from our patrician chairman who regularly thanked the shareholders at the AGM for their ‘interest in our business!’

The Arsenal board changed its attitude to Kroenke when Dein subsequently introduced Usmanov. He became the more acceptable alternative and had experience in running a variety of sporting organisations. His current sporting empire includes the current Super Bowl holders, the LA Rams, a franchise that he moved from St.Louis amid great controversy, the Colorado Avalanche, the NHL team, Colorado Rapids who play in the MLS, Denver Nuggets in the NBA and the Colorado Mammoth National Lacrosse team. When I was seeking to diminish the reputation of Kroenke’s oversight I used the term ‘a mediocre sports entrepreneur’. That may need revision after the Rams’ success, but it should also be noted that the Avalanche have lifted the Stanley Cup and the Rapids were early winners of the Major League Soccer.

Kroenke joined the Arsenal board in 2008 and after increasing his holding beyond 29.9% he acquired the shares of the late Danny Fiszman and Lady Nina Bracewell-Smith in April 2011. In August 2018 after a bitter battle with Usmanov he bought out the Uzbeki billionaire and forced a compulsory purchase of all other shares with a bid that valued the club at £1.8 billion.

The American’s increasing influence extended to appointing his son Josh to take a particular interest in Arsenal. Stan is known to the media as ‘Silent Stan’ because of his reluctance to make public pronouncements. Josh has proved a little more inclined to engage with the Arsenal supporters associations but one senses this was through public pressure rather than natural inclination.

The early years 

It was hard to discern much of a strategy in the early years of  Kroenke’s ownership. Kroenke was clearly in thrall to Wenger and frankly, why would he not be? Wenger had built enormous financial reserves purely through success on the field and inspired trading, had enabled Arsenal to contemplate and achieve the construction of a new super-stadium and kept the club consistently in the Champions League. One of Kroenke’s rare public pronouncements was to hail Wenger as a genius. The reality was that without Dein and with new mega-rich clubs appearing on the horizon Wenger was declining as a force and Kroenke failed to spot it. He might be forgiven. Arsenal won the FA Cup in 2014, 2015 and 2017 and after the last of  these triumphs Wenger slipped into a private meeting with Kroenke on the Sunday and agreed a new two year contract. It was a contract that he never completed. Around Wenger Arsenal was changing. Ivan Gazidis, bullshitter extraordinaire, assembled a team which included Raul Sanllehi, formerly a senior executive at Barcelona, ‘Diamond Eye’ Sven Mislintat who was tasked with spotting exciting new talent for Sanllehi to sign and Huss Fahmy to tighten up the contractual operation at the club.

Self-sustainability

One of the key tenets of a Kroenke operation was ‘self-sustainability’. Arsenal were allowed to spend what they generated. The  club whose  fans had implored the board  to ‘spend some f…ing money’ started to splash the cash. In the summer of 2016 £85 million was spent on Mustafi, Xhaka and Perez. Has Arsenal ever wasted money so blatantly? In 2018 Aubameyang was purchased for £50 million and Mesut Ozil given a contract worth over £300 thousand a week. In 2019  Nicolas Pepe was purchased for a club record fee of £72 million. This was hardly the action of a club whose owners wished to starve the club of funds. In the meantime after Wenger was released, Unai Emery was introduced as his successor but after initially promising signs the team started to fail badly in his second season. Mislintat fell out with Emery and left. Edu joined as director of football and Mikel Arteta was brought in to coach and then manage the team. Covid struck, another FA Cup was won and Sanllehi departed in suspicious circumstances, apparently after scrutiny by Tim Lewis, a corporate lawyer and partner at Clifford Chance who appeared to be becoming the eyes and ears of Kroenke and his KSE organisation.

That moment might be seen as an inflection point, a change in thinking. Yet shortly afterwards we embarked on the disastrous signing of Willian from Chelsea and one started to be confused again. Arsenal struggled badly at the start of the 2020/21 season and had fans been in the stadium we might have experienced the toxic atmosphere that prevailed in the last few years of Wenger’s tenure. That negativity came to a head anyway when the European Super League plans were announced. Arsenal recanted after two days of increasing criticism from fans and media. The apology on the website was unusually frank and admitted to a gross error in judgement. Why did it happen? 

It is said that when he acquired Arsenal Stan Kroenke had no idea that a system of relegation was in place in the Premier League. It underlines his lack of understanding of the way in which English football works. He had a steep learning curve to negotiate and hidden in Colorado or wherever he placed himself it was difficult to give Arsenal the attention their fans demanded that the club should be given. But KSE do understand how to run sporting organisations and the success of a Rams team coached by a young, highly impressive coach in Sean McVay might be a template for Arsenal Football Club.

Arsenal have shown faith in Arteta, through that bad period last season and after three games of this season when we’d lost all our matches and were marooned at the bottom of the table. Since that time and that show of faith, the atmosphere has become as positive and exciting as we have seen for years and the team have blossomed into one that has sent belief coursing through the club again.

So are KSE good owners? 

Morale among fans at the Grove is as positive as it has ever been. The recent travails of Chelsea and the revelations about their owner’s strong links with Putin have thrown into relief the suitability of the Kroenkes as custodians. The period since they assumed full control of the club has been a turbulent one. They have made many mistakes. In the early years of their involvement Stan Kroenke seemed happy to delegate full control of team affairs to Arsene Wenger. He allowed Gazidis to put in place a structure that was far from fit for purpose and haemorrhaged money. Oversight of transfers was woefully inadequate. He offered a waning Wenger a deal that prolonged the agony for the club. There was a feeling among supporters that in the collection of sporting teams that KSE owned, Arsenal had no primacy. It was just a highly attractive sporting brand situated in one of the great cities of the world that has a global fanbase and huge profit potential. Premier League football is a growing and exciting business, a financial powerhouse but one in which Arsenal had lost their way. Arsenal fans expect their club to be much more than another sporting franchise. 

I spoke of inflection points before. The moment when conditions change and a new direction is taken. It would seem that through 2021 a new strategy emerged, predicated on a longer-term rebuild. In a business where managers are sacked after a run of defeats or often even after winning trophies, Arsenal have shown patience and intelligence. They have reset the club and reimagined it with a young team playing a form of football in which Arteta is fully invested. Their net spend in the transfer window last summer was the highest in Europe and the quality and profile of purchases has been excellent, consistent and forward thinking. It seems to me that through Tim Lewis they have proper oversight of the way in which the club is run, in Arteta a visionary and developing coach and they have the faith in their key people which allowed them to release their star player because of the negative effect on team morale, just over a year after awarding him a mega contract.

This season may yet implode but it is hard to escape the feeling that for the first time  since Kroenke assumed control the club has robust governance and a philosophy that has galvanised players and supporters. It has taken a long time, an unnecessarily long time, but perhaps we are moving into one of the more exciting eras in Arsenal’s recent history.

The Arsenal travelled to the Midlands to take on Aston Villa this Saturday lunchtime in the hope of a morale-boosting three points after the home defeat to Liverpool a few days prior. I must admit to a certain amount of pre-match trepidation as the last time we went down at home to one of the top two – against Man City on New Year’s Day – we failed to win any of our next four games. Would we prove of sterner mental stuff this time round? 

Pre-game came news of a couple of changes, Leno for Ramsdale, and ESR for Gabi Martinelli due to a muscle injury and illness respectively. High quality and ready-made replacements fortunately but with our small squad let’s hope they are both available again after the international break, though the early news is not promising on Aaron. Villa had switched from the Ings/Watkins double attack with Buendia (remember him?) being given the start. And no reunion with Calum. 

First Half

To the game itself, and The Arsenal started brightly, confidence seemingly unaffected by the Liverpool blip, with Saka getting away from the elderly Young on the right and teeing up Ødegaard, who I thought was going to shoot first time but instead slipped it left for ESR to shoot somewhat wildly over. However, the next goalmouth action was at our end when a free-kick from the left-hand side of the box (it wasn’t a free-kick by the way) flashed dangerously across our box and took a deflection off an Arsenal player for a corner. From the corner, we broke smartly up-field with a nice set-up from Øde for Partey to shoot on-target but straight at Emi. A minute later and Emi faced a sterner test when Konsa helpfully tried to turn a good Saka cross into his own net. Unfortunately, Emi was up to the task and down to the ball, helping it round the post for a corner. A bright start but still 0-0. For now! Next up was Laca. However, he failed to control another good ball in and the chance was lost. The first booking followed shortly after with a clumsy Ramsey foul on ESR, penalised with an obvious yellow. The first 15 minutes were done and we had largely pinned Villa back but the next 15 were more even with no real openings and some good defending from Ben and Cédric keeping Villa ‘shotless’. 

Things changed much for the better in the 30th minute when an Arsenal free-kick wide right was worked for Cédric to cross from near the bye-line to the back right of the box, the ball rebounded aimlessly for a few seconds before it found itself booted firmly through a sea of legs and into the Villa net by the one and only Bukayo Saka. Some suggestions by the Japanese commentator on DAZN that Emi might have done better, I thought that harsh as he’d have seen it late and Saka had got enough on it to make the save impossible. Great goal and a timely one for The Arsenal.

Aston Villa 0 The Arsenal 1

The game turned fractious soon afterwards when Mings won a ball and then followed through to take out Bukayo Saka to the fury of several Arsenal players and several million supporters. Some pushing and shoving followed, McGinn just shoved Laca straight to the floor, followed by a lot of arm-waving and annoyance as the referee decided a yellow sufficient punishment for both Mings and McGinn. After a good look at the replay my own opinion was the ref got both calls right, an opinion I must admit that was not shared by either The Arsenal fans (red card) or the home crowd (not a foul). However, the ref’s appetite for Villa yellow cards seemed sated after that with the next one given to Xhaka for a nothing incident and fouls by Young (on Saka again) and what I thought was a bad foul by Cash on KT both going unpunished. 

Half-time was reached shortly after that largesse, and The Arsenal went in with a fully deserved half-time lead having fashioned several presentable chances and, with the aid of some tight marking on Coutinho, kept Villa from troubling Leno unduly.

Second Half

On then to the second half, and again we started brightly, forcing an early corner, which was taken to ESR lurking on the edge of the box, unfortunately his shot, though on target, lacked the power to trouble Emi. Shortly afterwards we attacked again and Øde was unlucky to see his shot blocked for a corner after a good steal on the press by Captain Laca to set up the chance. A few minutes later Saka broke on the left and for a moment looked to be clear but the Villa defender got back just in time to block off his shot. However, from then on, bar the odd break, we sat back and invited Villa to attack. When Cédric got a yellow after Young talked the ref into it with some fake outrage, followed a few minutes later by Thomas (deservedly in his case), I must admit I started to get concerned about whether we would finish with 11.

Come the 68th minute and Villa got as close as they would when a Watkins shot deflected off ESR and then the post for a corner. Mikel made his first sub at this point bringing off Saka – who had as usual been kicked hard and often – and sending on Pepe for the last twenty. A couple of minutes later, Ashley Young simply rolled back the years with a blatant dive in the penalty area but the ref denied him the yellow his efforts had so richly merited. You’d have thought he’d be embarrassed at his age but whatever – you still got it Ashley, hope it isn’t catching! 

Laca’s last involvement was a blocked shot after some nice passing before he was replaced by Eddie for the last 15 minutes. In all honesty he looked tired and off the pace today, three games in a week taking their toll no doubt and I am glad the international break will give him a chance to recharge. Villa sent on Ings in the 81stminute and he headed just over shortly afterwards (Bernd had it covered). Mikel then sent Rob on for Øde as it became all about holding on at that point. However, with Thomas and Xhaka both doing good jobs in covering the supply lines to Villa’s forwards and the defence sound behind them we saw the game out comfortably enough – well, apart from that snatched shot in the 92nd minute and Bernd’s save from the final kick of the game! The side had come through a difficult test away from home in their third game in a week and did it with guts and discipline.

Bernd did well in goal, though we missed Aaron’s kicking. The defence was solid The midfield added well to the attack in the first half and defended well for much of the second. A word on Thomas, who I thought was excellent again. It’s now reached the stage where I think he is the one player who could cause us to really struggle if he gets injured. The attack stuttered at times but nice to see ESR back – what a player he is and then Saka saka’ed and the game was won.

The game finished with The Arsenal in full voice ‘We love you Arsenal we do!’ and the not so super villans sneaking out. All in all, a very welcome One Nil to The Arsenal. Can’t get a happier ending!

Embed from Getty Images

The mighty Gunners now face their third match in six days in Saturday’s lunchtime fixture at Villa Park.  Until their midweek defeat by Liverpool, Arsenal had taken all 15 points on offer with five straight wins against mostly mid-table opposition.  Prior to each of those five matches I asked myself “Will this game be our banana skin?“; and I’m asking the same question today but seeing as Arsenal managed that stretch so well there has got to be cause for a modicum of guarded optimism.  That said, the Gunners will need to prove from the start that they have not lost their winning mentality after being bettered by one of two Premier League clubs that are in a league of their own.  But Arsenal must also show their durability to an extent they have not had to do recently, seeing as Cup defeats and Covid-related postponements gave them lengthy lulls between games at the start of the year.  In the 30 days preceding the Brentford match on February 19 Arsenal played only two times, which I would suggest is not the best way to build team stamina.  On the other hand, if Mikel Arteta saw evidence of tired legs against Liverpool, any inclination he might have to rest players will be tempered knowing that the Aston Villa match is critical to his team’s chances of finishing in the Champions League positions, and a two week international break follows before Arsenal play at Crystal Palace on April 4.

The Gunners won the reverse fixture in late October by 3-1 with goals by Partey, Smith Rowe and Aubameyang.  Needless to say they will not be able to rely on the Gabonese for any attacking firepower this time.  Villa put up little resistance on the day, responding only with a late consolation goal by Jacob Ramsey.  October’s game marked the first time in four matches that Arsenal managed to score a goal let alone take any points against the Villans, so the banana skin potential is there for all to see.  In three previous league meetings Arsenal were bested by a composite score of 0-5 including the 0-3 home loss in November 2020 when a Saka own goal resulted from consecutive Willian giveaways and a passive Arsenal defence.  Needless to say, Arsenal will not have Willian at their disposal this time either, and Saka will be playing right wing.  Quite an improvement overall I should say, and hopefully one that proves vital on the day.

The Opposition 

Since the Villans returned to the Premier League at the start of the 2019/20 season, the nearly perennial top-flighters have played Arsenal five times and emerged victorious thrice.  Exactly how Villa managed to deny us 9 of 15 points remains something of a mystery.  One possible explanation is that former manager Dean Smith must have been a genius, but the Villa brass must have thought otherwise because Smith was given the sack in November with the club sitting 16th in the table.  After Smith’s sacking one Villa fan’s remark was: “if your club relies on a single player for success then you weren’t in a good situation in the first place.”  That player was Jack Grealish, the talisman of Villa’s first two campaigns back in the Premier League, but he departed last Summer for the greener pastures of Manchester City.  It is fair to say the attacking creativity of Grealish was an important aspect of Villa’s success over the last few years so they may have been likely to struggle somewhat this season but it seemed harsh when Smith was sacked after only 11 league games.

Steven Gerrard, Smith’s successor, was given a three and a half-year contract through the summer of 2025, and gave the club a decent new manager bounce by winning 12 of the first 18 points on offer, with the two losses coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.   The 41-year-old Liverpool legend spent three and a half years at Rangers where he began his managerial career in 2018 after retiring as a player in 2016.  Last season Gerrard guided Rangers to their first Scottish Premiership title in 10 years but his loyalty to club and city was proved paper-thin when he jumped ship a few months later.  More than a few Villa fans may fear he could move again if offered the Liverpool job when Jurgen Klopp decides Merseyside’s attractions have waned.  But Gerrard does seem to have improved Villa’s performances.  Prior to his appointment in early November, Villa sat just two points above the relegation zone, and the club were without a win since September, but they have moved up seven spots in the table with Gerrard in charge.

Villa last played six days ago at West Ham where they lost 2-1.  Three days earlier at Leeds, goals from Coutinho, Cash and Calum Chambers helped the Villans to a 3-0 victory, which combined with their two prior wins against Southampton and Brighton gave Villa an impressive streak with nine goals scored and none conceded.  But their recent form is not all positive: In mid-February they gathered just one point in nine with a 3-3 home draw with Leeds and consecutive 1-0 defeats to Newcastle and Watford.  The Villa defence at West Ham featured 36 year old Ashley Young at left back as an 8th minute substitute for Lucas Digne (who suffered a hamstring strain), Calum Chambers and Tyrone Mings at center back, Matty Cash on the right, and Emi Martinez in goal.  John McGinn, Douglas Luiz, Jacob Ramsey and Coutinho formed the midfield, with Danny Ings and Ollie Watkins at forward positions.  Ramsey scored a late goal after Leon Bailey and Emiliano Buendía replaced Ings and Luiz but they were unable to complete the comeback from their two goal deficit.

The 29 year old Coutinho has been a boost to the Villa attack with four goals and three assists in nine appearances since his January signing from Barcelona.  Gerrard was effusive in his praise of Chambers who was signed from Arsenal in the January window, saying: “He’s been class, on and off the pitch (and) a real pleasure to work with.”  For the last several games Calum has been playing in the center-back role that was handled the rest of the season by Ezri Konsa, but I have to say it would be fun to see Gabi roasting Calum like a slab of Brazilian steak, leaving him pounding his fist into the turf after slipping in desperate retreat. 

The Arsenal XI

Mikel Arteta did not make any January signings and has not varied his starting eleven in recent memory, so it is difficult to predict that Saturday will be the day he alters his pattern of sticking to what has been successful.  Therefore I expect we will see the same faces we have seen recently.  Nicolas Pepe might be tapped to replace Bukayo Saka one of these games of course, but we haven’t seen it yet so these are the likeliest of suspects:

Ramsdale

Cédric  White  Gabriel  Tierney

Partey  Xhaka

Saka  Ødegaard  Martinelli

Lacazette 

The holics’ pound

Seeing as we were held goalless by Liverpool, and ten other clubs have conceded fewer goals this season than Aston Villa’s 39, the odds seem to favour Arsenal putting a couple into the net so I am predicting Arsenal to prevail with their organs intact at the very least, and, what’s more, to achieve a narrow 2-1 victory.  Please let it be so, those with the power to do anything about it.  

Which reminds me to mention that the referee will be Andy Madley, whose place of birth was Huddersfield (where all the referees come from, I believe).  Show us your biceps after you’ve awarded us a penalty, Andy!

Enjoy the game, ‘holics.

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