And so to the Stadium of Stone for the second leg of our Carabao Cup semi-final against Chelsea on Tuesday evening.
We are one game away from a Wembley final, the winning of which could do so much to kickstart the accumulation of several pieces of silverware.
We shall be defending a one-goal lead from the first leg at the Bus Stop. Two well-taken goals by substitute Alejandro Garnacho turned the Blues’ xG of 0.75 into a final and, for them, flattering scoreline of 2-3, breathing life and West London hope into a tie that should have been dead and buried.
Not for the last time, the new head coach at the Bus Stop, Liam Rosenior, resurrected his expensively if seemingly randomly assembled show ponies, as I read them described, rather amusingly and accurately, I thought, with some deft in-game adjustments to a starting XI that had undewhelmed.
It was substitutes to the rescue a week ago, too, against Napoli in the Champions League in the form of two assists from Cole Palmer, brought on at half-time. And again last Saturday, to turn around a two-goal deficit against West Ham in the league, although it meant bringing on four regular starters and a fifth who had replaced the hamstrung Jamie Gittens in the first half, all of whom were intended to be rested for Tuesday evening.
Please curb you sympathy.
We have a mixed record in the League Cup against Chelsea: in terms of games, we have won four, lost four and drawn one; in terms of ties, we have won two and lost four, including the 2007 final in Cardiff, where we ended up with nine players after Emmanuel Adebayor and Kolo Touré got reds right at the end. In semi-finals, we lost in 1998, when the competition was the Coca-Cola Cup, and won in 2018, the debut season of Carabao’s sponsorship.
In the games we won, we have never done so by more than one goal. The January 14 first leg was the first time we scored more than twice against them in any League Cup game.
Liam Rosenior
I understand that the old door to the manager’s office at Stamford Bridge was removed from its hinges some years back and replaced with a revolving one. Rosenior, the latest incumbent to pass through it, was brought in from the other club in Chelsea owner BlueCo’s stable, Racing Club de Strasbourg Alsace, after Enzo Maresca marked New Year’s Day by getting the old heave-ho from BlueCo’s owners, Clearlake Capital and Todd Boehly. As head coach at the Ligue Un club and bearing the same title in SW6, Rosenior can, at least, have no illusions about the job spec.
He has, however, made a strong start to the other part of his job, getting results on the pitch. The first leg is the only one of his seven games that he has not won.
The Opposition
At Strasbourg, Rosenior mostly, but not invariably, played a 3-4-2-1, but at the new gig, he has stuck with his predecessor’s back four. Wesley Fofana and Trevor Chalobah are the most likely starting centre-backs, with Benoit Badiashile staying on the bench, to which he was banished at half-time on Saturday.
Levi Colwill, arguably the pick of Chelsea’s central defenders, is a long-term absentee having torn his ACL. Tosin Adarabioyo is also out injured. The AFCON-winning Senegal international (have to put that in for BtM) Mamadou Sarr, has been suddenly recalled from his loan in Strasbourg, but is unlikely to be back in London in time to feature.
Club captain Reece James, who missed the first leg because of injury, and the irksome Marc Cucarella are likely to start either side of them. Both are inverting full-backs in the modern fashion. They will spend a lot of the game higher up the pitch if allowed to. James’s elite passing will be a threat. Malo Gusto and Josh Acheampong are alternatives on the right if Rosenior reprises playing James alongside Fofana in the middle of the back four, as he did against Napoli. Jorrel Hato is the cover for the mat of hair that could start an argument with an empty field.
Robert Sánchez, who belied his inconsistency by pulling off some good saves in the first leg, should be in goal.
The engine room might comprise Moisés Caicedo and Andrey Santos, the latter of whom has been manning the ship pending the return from injury of both Romeo Lavia and his cover Dario Essugo.
However, against West Ham, Rosenior started with Caicedo as the sole pivot in a 4-1-4-1, which allowed him to play four attacking midfielders. A rehearsal for Tuesday evening, perhaps, when Chelsea will need both to attack and counter our capacity to impose smothering control in midfield.
The attack at Rosenior’s disposal is undoubtedly potent. Palmer missed the first leg but returned for a half against Napoli and the full game against West Ham. He and fellow 10, the often gravity-challenged Enzo Fernández, would be among the first names to be inked onto the team sheet.
The youthful and dangerous winger, Estevao, missed Saturday’s game because he is on compassionate leave. He returned home to Brazil, and it is unclear when he will return. Even if he is back in time, the bench would seem the right place to be after such a long flight.
That would leave Liam Delap, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro, Garancho, Marc Guiu and Tyrique George vying for the remaining two starting places. Pedro Neto’s ability to play on either wing would likely put him at the head of that pecking order, followed by Joao Pedro, who has the most goals and assists for the club this season and is developing a partnership with Palmer.
The Arsenal
The performance and goals at Leeds will have eased the nervousness of the team and fans that manifested in the preceding few games — or at least, if the crowd at the Ems can not get behind the team for a semi-final after the showing at Elland Road, I don’t know what can gee them up.
I will rehearse my habitual expectation that Arteta will play his strongest available side, except for sticking with Kepa as his cup keeper.
Mikel Merino has joined Max Dowman off games. For all of Arteta’s artful ambiguity in his pre-match press conference, Bukayo Saka ain’t startin’, and nor should he be if there is any peril to his participation later in the season.
I also favour the physicality of Kai Havertz and Viktor Gyökeres from the off for what is likely to be a fast and furious start to the game. Thus:
Arrizabalaga
Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori
Havertz, Zubimendi, Rice
Madueke, Gyökeres, Trossard
Even though we are at home, one goal is a slender advantage against a team that has quality goals in it from multiple players and more than its fair share of practitioners of the dark arts. A tight and freisty game is in prospect as the Blues look to add to their record of winning three of their past four Carabao Cup ties in which they have trailed after the first leg.
Weathering the early stages without conceding an equaliser will be essential, but I suspect the final half hour will be key, turning on which coach makes the right subs, whose side keeps the leveller head, and perhaps even which team can keep 11 players on the pitch.
As a quick reminder, unlike earlier rounds, second legs of Carabao Cup semi-finals do not go straight to penalties if the score is level at full time, but have 30 minutes of extra time, and then penalties if necessary.
Let’s get the job done in the 90, or rather the 96 as Arteta always now refers to the length of games. I will hazard 2-1 on the night to give us a 5-3 win on aggregate.
Enjoy the game, ‘holics, near and far.












