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4th May 1971, Division 1, Tottenham Hotspur 0 v Arsenal 1, Arsenal goalkeeper Bob Wilson jumps for joy after Ray Kennedy had scored the all important winning goal, as Arsenal clinched the Division 1 title with the win, the first part of the “Double” (Photo by Rolls Press/Popperfoto via Getty Images/Getty Images)

It’s the first fixture we all look for when the fixtures get released in June. Regardless of where we are in comparison to them, whether we’re fighting for the title or the top four, or even if we’re both languishing in mid-table, this one will always matter. 

It is of course time for the North London Derby. Whilst technically we have been playing Tottenham for almost 150 years, we as proud supporters of North London’s original club, know that this fixture has only been an official local derby since 1965 when the Greater London boundaries were shifted to accommodate the region of Middlesex which included N17. So, despite those losers constantly harping on about Arsenal pitching up on “their turf” we were in fact a North London club over 50 years before they were. But hey, who would want to let good old-fashioned facts get in the way of a good argument? 

It’s certainly a fixture Arsenal have dominated throughout our existence. To nobody’s surprise we are vastly superior with 84 wins to their 61 and 52 draws. We have famously won the league at their hovel on two occasions, in 1971 and 2004. That’s the same number of times as they’ve managed to win it in their entire mediocre existence. 

In 2019 they moved from the old White Hart Lane and into their new shiny toilet bowl on the same site. In true Spurs and Daniel Levy fashion it was built way past the original deadline and miles over budget. Since they moved in, they have hosted more Beyonce concerts than Richarlison has goals. Well not quite but she’s probably not far behind. 

Last season, unfortunately they finally managed to get their hands on some silverware that didn’t come from Daniel Levy’s Mum’s kitchen drawers. They managed to fluke their way to Europa League success by beating fellow bottom feeders Manchester United in the final last May. This means we can brace ourselves from their moronic “Champions of Europe” chant. Sometimes there is no need to make fun of Spurs fans because they are perfectly capable of doing it themselves. They do in fact play the actual Champions of Europe, PSG on Wednesday where I strongly suspect they will get royally battered. I suspect they will start to sing it less after their next two games. 

Over the course of Arsenal’s steady decline beginning towards the backend of the 2000’s and into the 2010’s which was coupled with Spurs’ ascension to regular top 4-ish finishes, we had to contend with much tedious media discourse about a mythical “power shift in North London”. Arsene Wenger was asked about this and he famously quipped “Power shift? The last time I checked, they were still 11 titles and 4 miles away!” How right he was. Quite apart from the fact that even in our period of decline, for which there were some valid reasons, we still won more than them, it was always more a case of Arsenal descending to lower levels rather than Spurs rising to any sort of great heights. 

Recent meetings have gone very heavily in our favour. Since the start of the 22/23 season we have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0. That includes each of our last three visits to the Toilet Bowl. In comparison, Spurs have not recorded a league victory in N5 since November 2010 and they have just two league victories at either The Emirates or Highbury in the Premier League era. 

This all contributes to our tag as heavy favourites for Sunday’s game. Whilst Gabriel and Havertz are definitely out, and we are sweating over the fitness of several others, you would still feel confident we will be able to put out a team that is considerably stronger than our opponents. Spurs do also have a lengthy injury list, but the difference is our injured players are actually quite good at football.  

My predicted eleven is as follows:

Raya

Timber Saliba Hincapié Calafiori

Zubimendi Ødegaard Rice

Saka Eze 

Merino

I expect our skipper will be deemed fit for this one. As a bonus prediction I think both Martinelli and Madueke will make the bench. What is this based on, you ask? Absolutely nothing other than the law of averages. We have so many players to come back, surely at least a couple of them will be fit?

Because we can’t have absolutely everything in the universe go for us, I’ve predicted Gyökeres to sit this one out to balance things out. Big Mik will continue to deputise. 

Michael Oliver is the ref for this one. He has not reffed an Arsenal game since he gave Myles Lewis-Skelly a straight red for his malicious trip on Matt Docherty 80 yards from goal against Wolves in January.  What could possibly go wrong? 

Despite potential injury woes and the likely PGMO nonsense, I fully expect a win. 3-0 to The Arsenal. Saka, Eze and Merino. My reasoning? We’re very good and they are very not good. Nuff said. 

Let’s give it the full beans for this one. COYG!


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This year, Willow is taking part in the Big Give Christmas Challenge, running for one week only from Tuesday 2 December. During this time, every donation you make will be DOUBLED, yes, doubled, thanks to our generous funders who have agreed to match your donation.

That means your gift will have twice the impact on the lives of seriously ill young adults.

Save the date and keep a look out for more details on how you can be part of this wonderful week of giving. Check out the Willow Foundation here.

TTG has undertaken a new interview with Nigel Phillips of the Arsenal Supporters’ Trust to explore their recent activities and thoughts on current Arsenal matters.

TTG: We were fascinated to learn more about the work of the Trust a few years ago. What is occupying most of your time at the Trust at the moment ?

Nigel Phillips: It was back in the autumn of 2018 that KSE became the single shareholder of Arsenal by buying the 29.9% of the Club from Red & White Holdings (Alisher Usmanov) and forcing out the 500 “small” shareholders with a compulsory purchase order. This changed much of what the Trust campaigned on and represented as there was no longer any equity interest outside of KSE and corporate governance issues became a matter for a private company! No more Annual General Meetings for shareholders. At this stage the Trust was into its 15th year since formation so we weren’t going to disappear and have been active on a whole range of supporter issues such as ticketing matters (pricing, availability, touting and allocation), safe standing, matchday atmosphere, supporting community causes and much more.

The whole European Super League debacle in April 2021 led to the creation of the Arsenal Advisory Board (AAB) on which the AST has representation. This meets four times a year with a combination of the Owner, senior executives and Directors to discuss all things Arsenal. The creation of the AAB and other such representative bodies at all Premier League clubs was an early pre-emptive action to demonstrate “fan engagement” to the then emerging Independent Football Regulator.

Underneath the AAB there are four working groups, on which the AST also has representation:

  • Ticketing forum
  • Match day forum
  • Woman’s match day forum
  • Equality, Diversity, Inclusion and Sustainability Forum

The AST is also active within the Football Supporters’ Association and the Football Supporters’ Europe organisation. The AST has proposed motions opposing the increasing inevitability of Leagues / clubs wanting to play domestic matches overseas.

It’s been an incredibly hectic close season especially in relation to the transfer window! Did you expect Arsenal to be this active in the window?

It was an amazing summer window with an extraordinary spend of almost GBP 300m with negligible funds coming in from player sales. To bring in EIGHT players that one could call “prem ready” in one window provides significant squad strengthening and is a sure sign that the Owner has gone “all-in” on getting the Club over the winning line this season! Whilst much of this spend has come from paying  for players in stage payments over several years (current future obligations to other clubs is now over GBP 300m) the money owed to the Owner is about GBP 325m.

Are you comfortable with the PSR headroom the club has following their spending spree and are they similarly positioned financially in European terms? 

Of course Arsenal monitor closely its compliance with both the Premier League and UEFA financial regulations. The massive increase in club revenues from being back in the Champions League and growing commercial revenues have given Arsenal scope to increase its player cost base – both transfers and wages. We won’t see figures for the year ended 31st May 2025 until late February 2026 and we already know the summer of 2025 was “busy”. One signing that did show spending restraint was the late window loan arrangement for Piero Hincapie from Leverkusen but with options on both sides to make this deal permanent at a later stage.

When we first met several years ago (at the Oval!), the topic on all supporters’ minds was whether Arteta could survive the disastrous start to the season. Nevertheless, a lot of supporters are now suggesting that Arteta ‘has to win silverware’ if he is to keep his job. Is this the Trust’s view? 

The Trust doesn’t have views on such matters but on a personal basis this does seem to be the season that we have to take that final step towards silverware. Whilst competing on four fronts and with a squad to support that, it is clear that 2004 is far too long ago and the Champions League trophy last season was within touching distance. As for Arteta’s job security given another trophy-less season one can only assume that the pressure will be intense.

We understand KSE are looking at potential plans to increase our ground capacity. Do you think this is possible at the Emirates and have you had discussions with the club about this? 

It is clear that this is being taken very seriously and many options are being considered to increase revenue from matchdays. Commercial revenues are growing and TV / performance money is increasing due to Champions League participation and larger centrally negotiated TV contracts yet matchday revenues only tick up gently with inflation / low single digit % increases.  Whilst there have been reports of an extra 10,000 seats to meet ticket demand there is also work being done on seeking to get a higher “revenue per seat” from the existing 60,000 capacity. This would naturally lead to some higher price hospitality seats, actions that have been aggressively taken recently at both Manchester United and Chelsea. The Club have shared no plans and say “all options are being explored”. The additions to the Arsenal Board of Otto Maly and Dave Steiner in late September gives an indication of the direction of travel. Both are long term Kroenke / KSE people with direct experiences of building and running the SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles (described by Josh as the “greatest stadium on the planet”) and with significant real estate experience. 

It is right that Arsenal are reviewing all their options. Every week there is huge demand to watch the team play. They should ensure they consult with fans on any firm plans. We would remind the club of its important role as a community institution and stress that any changes to the stadium layout must ensure no loss of space allocated for general admission ticket prices

A lot of supporters were very concerned that the club continued to play Thomas Partey despite police investigations which have eventually developed into formal charges. They also started discussions about extending his contract. Where does the Trust stand on this issue? 

Again the Trust did not have a view on this matter but presented views of many members to the Club. Clearly it was sensitive matter and subject to the police investigation. And it should be remembered that no formal charges were made until after his Arsenal contract had expired. 

Has the culture changed at the club since Josh Kroenke has effectively assumed ultimate control? Do you feel the club genuinely listens to fan concerns and especially do they recognise the large supporter organisations like the Trust? 

It is clear that Josh (born on Cup Final day 1980) is the voice of his father who himself is now 78 years old. The appointment of Ben Winston to the Board shows how Josh is seeking to connect with the supporter base given Ben’s long standing season ticket holding status and familiarity with Arsenal fans. 

The AAB and the various Forums are the vehicles for representation, and these can only be as strong as the supporter reps sitting on them and views they share. It is a time to challenge and influence and be the critical friend that seeks to drive improvement and fairness. 

The executive team engage well with supporters and it is through these interactions and making a coherent case that improvements can be achieved whether these need Owner consent or not. 

Join the AST at www.arsenaltrust.org and get your voice heard.

Finally, speaking as a supporter are you optimistic about the new season? What are your expectations?

Expectations or hopes? We would all love to go one step further in the Premier League after three consecutive runners-up spots and the opening games and unbelievable defensive record give great confidence that this could be the season. However, with 15/17 games in the Champions League maybe this is the easier one to win? My preference if such a thing is possible would be the Premier League.

COYG


Christmas is on the horizon and, for those who celebrate it, is a time for giving. Willow would be an excellent recipient of your generosity. Whatever you can donate in the week beginning 2 December will be doubled. If you are able to donate during that week, please contribute what you can to this extremely good cause founded by Arsenal’s very own Bob Wilson. Here is an extract from Willow’s notice about this opportunity.

This year, Willow is taking part in the Big Give Christmas Challenge, running for one week only from Tuesday 2 December. During this time, every donation you make will be DOUBLED, yes, doubled, thanks to our generous funders who have agreed to match your donation.

That means your gift will have twice the impact on the lives of seriously ill young adults.

Save the date and keep a look out for more details on how you can be part of this wonderful week of giving. Check out the Willow Foundation here.

We like to take the temperature among Holics at key points in the season and often reveal quite a division of opinion. But perhaps, not surprisingly, the consensus among Arsenal fans about the campaign so far is almost universally positive, although it is still interesting to get insights from some of our finest. Not all Holics accept my invitation to participate in these round robin discussions which is a pity. It is good to canvass opinion and we have gained perspectives from varied vantage points on what has transpired so far. My thanks go to the ubiquitous C100, the Antipodean view from Noosa, the polymath that is Ned, the keen follower that is Sancho Panza and the seasoned observer that is Uplympian. Gentlemen, we thank you for your excellent insights and appreciate your participation. 

We began with the obvious question 

What  are your feelings about the season so far? 

C100: How can you not be thrilled and delighted? We look the real deal and I am enjoying every single minute.

Noosa: Got to be happy with the current position. Of the non-wins, Liverpool should have been a draw (or a win if we had taken the initiative earlier), City parked the bus but we kept going for a draw which was gutsy and Sunderland played better than I thought but our defending let us down for once. Well, twice actually.

Ned: It is going as it must if we are to win the league, but it still needs to continue like this for a long, long time. In recent seasons, the champions have usually lost only three or four games, which suggests we can only afford to lose a couple of our remaining 28 matches. It’s a tall order that will test our (fans’) patience and nerves. Like all champions, we will need the Gods of good fortune to smile on us at crucial moments. On the bright side, Arteta has more quality and squad depth than ever before, probably more than any Arsenal manager has had, and this should be one of the greatest Arsenal teams ever. At the same time, the Premier League and the Champions League have never been more competitive. This Arsenal team could end up winning the quadruple — or with nothing, and the margins, as Arteta constantly reminds us, are small. Like rowing the Atlantic, it is the scale of the achievement that is to be admired, not the flair with which it is carried out. Yet, if not now, then when?

Uply: I have found the season so far very satisfactory. The past 3 years we have been very close to collecting trophies but not close enough (for reasons well known). I see a steely mindset emanating in the players that enough is enough and this year trophies will be won – no ifs, no buts!

SP: Everything is above and beyond where I had hoped for after 10 games played plus the cup games.  Only letting in three paltry goals is amazing and a tight fisted defence is, as we know the bedrock to any campaign.  If we had had a leaky goals against column our points total would probably be 5 or 6 less than it actually is.  The defensive play from all over the pitch is allowing us to win games by a single goal and lessening the impact of the injuries to the front line.  We have 4 more points off the teams we played last year, and we have 7 more points after 10 games than we did last year.  Injuries are mounting though and it would be a shame to lose momentum because of them.

TTG note: If we had uncovered a well of disgruntled feelings it would suggest Arsenal fans are never satisfied. Holics are known for their balanced views and these were very much to the fore in these comments. As we entered the season there was the usual uncertainty about whether we could reproduce another title challenge, would the new players gel and perform and we faced a very difficult early programme. So far we have come through well. 

Who have been the outstanding players as far as you are concerned?

Ned: The strength of this team lies in it being much more than the sum of its parts. It would be unfair to single out individuals, but three goals conceded so far indicates that the defensive unit has been exceptional.

Uply: The whole squad have been outstanding so it’s difficult to choose who has impressed most but I will go with:

Jurrien Timber – he has evolved into a world class fullback. No one gets the better of him week in week out and his attacking prowess has come on leaps and bounds.

Big Gabby – what an absolute monster at both ends of the pitch, he is our set piece king.

Martin Zubimendi – he has settled into the EPL without a hitch (not an easy task). He is master of the midfield and is as accomplished as we hoped he might be.

SP: Timber, Gabriel, Rice and Zubi have been immense.  Others are not far behind.  Everyone is putting in brilliant performances.

Noosa: From a team perspective, every individual picked has been outstanding in their own way.

Notably individually, Rice has been exceptional, Zubimendi has slotted in and improved the team, Gyökeres has worked extremely hard and will get better, Madueke looked really good before his injury. Gabriel has been a monster in both defence and attack.

C100: So many to choose from! Very honourable mentions to Jurrien Timber and Riccardo Calafiori. Honourable mentions to Martin Zubimendi and Leo Trossard. But the two outstanding players so far this season have been Gabriel and Declan Rice. I find it impossible to separate them. They are the heartbeat of the team. 

TTG: Teams who have only conceded three goals and are leading the league by six points tend to throw up a number of outstanding performers but it is clear that so far a majority of our players are shooting the lights out.

Of our eight signings in the close season who has been the standout performer?

Ned: In terms of raising the team’s level, it has been Martin Zubimendi so far. At the end of the season, I suspect we will be saying that it was signing Victor Gyökeres that made the difference in winning silverware, but Eberechi Eze will have provided the magical memories. Cristhian Mosquera will turn out to be an inspired long-term signing.

C100: I have been very pleased with the progress of Gyökeres. But the player who has fitted in seamlessly is Zubimendi. He is world class, a Swiss watch of a player.

SP: Zubi obviously but no one has stunk the place out.  Mosquera, what a player!  Eze will start to click soon.  Viktor also. I expect Nørgaard to play more and be very effective.  I loved the Noni signing and can’t wait to see more of him. Kepa looks a solid keepa. Hincapié looks far from hincapiéble.

Uply: Whoever determined our 8 summer signings deserves the utmost praise – there’s not one that disappoints. Again the choice of who is the standout performer is selecting from a box of riches. My choice may be left field but I am going for Christhian Mosquera – most of us probably thought “who?” when he was announced but he has stepped in and deputised for both Big Willy & Big Gabby without any noticeable drop off in our defensive capability – that is some accolade for a 21yr old with no EPL experience.

Noosa: I haven’t yet mentioned Eze who is yet to really show his best and may prove to be the standout. I have no doubt that he will.

TTG: Andrea Berta can take a bow thus far because his diligence and industry in the summer built on the two previous summer windows which brought top players to the club. Personally, I think Zubimendi has been superb and Mosquera a nice surprise but all of our additions have been extremely welcome additions. 

How do you feel about a temporary move while the stadium is expanded? Would you prefer to move to 

Wembley?

The London Stadium?

The Toilet Bowl?

Twickenham?

Any other suggestion?

C100: I  look on this scenario with absolute horror. Wembley and Twickenham would be very difficult for me, given that I attend every home game. Playing at the Spurs ground is unthinkable. The easiest journey by far is the London Stadium. But it’s an absolute disaster of a stadium for atmosphere, the stewards are Nazis (I suppose we could use Arsenal stewards) and I hate it. How about we don’t do this?

Uply: The thought of having to temporarily move away from N5 is highly undesirable but may be unavoidable .

Wembley Stadium: too many bad memories (champions league matches). Travelling logistics awful.

The London Stadium:  an awful soulless stadium. Travelling logistics barely acceptable.

The Toilet Bowl:  just no, never, ever – they are the old enemy. 

Twickenham: a good stadium (I have enjoyed many rugby internationals there), travelling logistics passable but may not be feasible as the London Borough of Richmond have strict limits on events there due to local resident pressure. I expect the RFU could be very supportive though as their finances are in deep manure.

Noosa: I don’t think we should need one. Leaving Highbury, perhaps for understandable reasons, adversely affected the club and team performance for a very long time. If additional revenue is the only driving force, then every avenue to raise it at the Emirates must be explored and a way must be found.

If we did have to move, none of the names mentioned would work for me for a variety of reasons, most of which have been already noted in previous drinks.

SP: Wembley is the only serious contender out of that list.  I doubt whether the expansion will amount to much and require any temporary move away.  Not in my lifetime anyway.

Ned: None of the above, if at all possible. Twist my arm, and I will say move up the Seven Sisters Road for the duration, even if it means a peg on the nose. Using Wembley or sharing the London Stadium would be like playing in a mausoleum. Logistics disfavour Twickenham or any other west London ground, such as Stamford Bridge. Limited capacity would put the kybosh on Craven Cottage, the G-tech stadium and Loftus Road. I wonder if Lord’s or the Oval could accommodate football matches. The Oval did stage the first FA Cup Final.

TTG: I share C100’s reluctance to consider this. It is a big logistical challenge but as a man whose trains run through Stratford I have a clear favourite! 

Should Arteta ever be tempted away who would you envisage ought to be our next manager? 

SP: I guess most people would look no further than the chaps at Bournemouth and Palace.  I’m always slightly dubious of favouring this type of manager who has no experience of managing a team that dominates possession. They need to move on from their comfort zones.  Frank Thomas is going to be a better manager for being at Tottenham as will Amorim at United, but not a lot.  I think we should go for a Billy Big Bollocks type like Alonso or Enrique or even Kompany.  Being the biggest club in the World after Arteta’s reign, who would say no to the Arsenal?

Ned: I expect Arteta to leave around the 10-year mark, recognising the risk of late-stage Wenger syndrome if he stays longer. Thus, one more contract extension after the current one that expires in summer 2027. I also have a hunch that it won’t be for another coaching role; he seems to be a person who can succeed at anything he sets his mind to. If he leaves the club in as good a state as I hope and expect he will, then we should have our pick of the game’s elite coaches, depending on who is contractually available. The other succession issue will be finding a replacement that can adapt to and evolve the strong culture that Arteta has imposed on the club. The Klopp/Slott transition shows the dangers. We could well look internally to someone Arteta grooms as a successor. If that turns out to be Gabriel Heinze, remember you heard it here first. If not, forget I ever mentioned it.

Noosa: Arteta has some way to go yet before his project is finished. Nobody managing in PL currently comes even close so perhaps a foreign manager? Nobody comes to mind right now and I hope it doesn’t need to for some time.

Uply: Should Mikel leave the club (perish the thought) the most suitable replacement would be his fellow Basque, Andoni Iraola (currently manager at Bournemouth). He is tactically astute, continually develops new players as the stars are sold on and has a persona that fits perfectly in representing the culture of our club.

C100: I don’t want to see Arteta go. Ever! But if he were tempted away, after 6 Premier League Titles and 6 Champions League Cups, I would like Xabi Alonso.

TTG: This is a question none of us want to consider although other blogs seem keen to push  anti-Arteta agendas . My choice would be Iraiola based on what I have seen since he took over at Bournemouth. 

Do you sense an anti-Arsenal agenda in the media that you read or are we paranoid about pundits not liking us? 

SP:  I don’t really know as I don’t give any pundits or football journalists the time of day.  Pundits will always favour their own clubs I suppose and they will have a willing audience to criticise other teams who they see as a threat.  Most, if not all of them are, in the words of the great football philosopher Danny Dyer, complete melts.  

C100: For sure. But t’was ever thus. I don’t let it bother me. As the Millwall fans used to say, “Nobody likes us. We don’t care!”

Uply: Over the years there has been a certain negativity towards our club by sectors of the media ranging from jibes such as “The Bank of England club”, the temerity to employ a foreign manager using new foreign ideas such as diet, training methods etc (Arsene Wenger), “they don’t like it up ‘em, soft southerners” with no calling out of the thuggery endured by our players at the time. The nature of journalism / punditry has changed these past few years with click baits being the main driver. This requires sensationalism and there is an unlimited supply of low intelligence ex-players who excel in this as they try to remain relevant in their post playing careers. There is no club immune from this nowadays but some receive much more negative coverage than others (The Arsenal on one hand and the Scousers on the other).

Ned: All fans believe the media is biased against their club. Some research indicates that all Premier League clubs receive net negative press, and this is more pronounced for smaller clubs compared to the Big Six. However, I haven’t found scientifically credible studies of bias against individual clubs. Thus, we have to fall back on anecdotal evidence. I would argue that the bias has become stronger against London clubs since the national broadcaster, the BBC, moved its sports department from London to Manchester. This could reinforce both implicit and cognitive biases, such as confirmation bias, especially against Arsenal because of the BBC and Sky employing pundits like Neville, Carragher and Keane, for whom Arsenal was a major rival during their playing days. Add in social media, which promotes divisive punditry, and the bias is exacerbated. The tribal nature of fandom further intensifies perceptions of bias. That said, just because you are paranoid, it doesn’t mean they aren’t after you.

Noosa: Media want customers and click bait is now the default option for most of them so not worth bothering with. Bloggers are sometimes better but the only one I read as a matter of course is, of course, Goonerholics.

We don’t see many of the English pundits in Australian coverage but those I know of aren’t usually worth listening to, particularly any ex-Liverpool player who still hate Arsenal for Anfield 89 – yes, that’s you Stevie Nichol!

If there is an anti Arse agenda – win the league and/or big ears and shut them all up for a least a short time!

TTG: Much wisdom distilled here. Early in my Arsenal supporting career my Dad sat me down and explained ‘Son, you either love Arsenal or you hate them‘ That was in the nineteen fifties and little has changed. If we win the league we will be the most unpopular side in history. Do we look bovvered? 

Finally, the estimable Sancho Panza added a bonus question 

SP Bonus question: Would you call yourself knowledgeable about Arsenal or football in general?

No. Sorry to have wasted your time.  I know nothing and am rightfully bottom of the predictathon.

TTG: Sancho has been too hard on himself but the Predictathon is proving a fascinating competition again! Many thanks Ned for your super work in running it.

Share your thoughts in the Drinks.


Heads up, Holics.

Willow will receive double any donation we make during the week beginning 2 December.

More info anon. Check out the Willow Foundation here.

Avenell Road 8th November 1930: As Far As The Eye Can See…

How many times have you heard during commentary “of course, XYZ FC are a big club”?  The idea of the “Big Club” is often presented to us as a matter of fact. Usually delivered by some pundit or other, whose skills are almost invariably as a player and whose analytical abilities, as shown in coaching / managing roles as well as poor attempts on tv, are at best negligible. It baffles me why anyone should pay attention to the ramblings of the likes of Rooney, who, when you can understand what he’s saying, talks in third-rate soundbites and hackneyed phrases. Much less the likes of Gary Neville, whose only consistency appears to be in finding ever more contrived, bizarre ways to tell you not to believe the evidence of tv cameras. Or journalists simply following instructions and providing click bait, shock-jock level analysis, designed to generate “engagement,” otherwise known as revenue generation for the person / media outlet in question. Hugh McIlvanney, where art thou? 

As with so many things in real life, the reality of the “Big Club” is less black and white, more multi-dimensional, nuanced. Clubs are described as “Big” with no clarification as to what that means. So, what are the actual criteria for being a “Big Club”? 

I won’t try to produce a mathematically and statistically precise model. Rather I will try to set out the main characteristics which I believe go towards categorising clubs in this way, focusing on the tangibles. As I see it, there are a number of components which feed into the equation. They are not weighted equally. To use Orwell’s famous phrase, “some are more equal than others”. I will attempt to work through them in decreasing order of importance. 

The single most important constituent of the formula is success as measured by sheer numbers of titles. I refer to domestic and European titles – forgive me for excluding other regions of the world, about the football of which I know nothing. Taking this as the primary filter, there are clubs which clearly fit the description. These are the behemoths of European football. It is impossible not to class Real Madrid, Juventus Internazionale, AC Milan, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Ajax, Liverpool and Manchester United in the top drawer. These are clubs with a massive history of domestic and European success.  

  1. Real Madrid: 36 titles; 14 EC 
  2. Internazionale: 20 titles; 3 EC 
  3. Barcelona: 28 titles; 5 EC 
  4. Bayern Munich: 34 titles; 6 EC 
  5. Man United: 20 titles; 3 EC 
  6. Liverpool: 20 titles; 6 EC 
  7. Juventus: 36 titles; 2 EC 
  8. Ajax: 36 titles; 4 EC. 

The sheer numbers take the breath away. Perhaps Ajax is an outlier there, with their last European Cup / Champions league victory being 30 years ago, and because they play in a not-terribly competitive league. On balance I include them as they meet the rest of the criteria below, to greater or lesser extents. 

Those who have achieved many domestic titles, but fewer European successes score less highly in this category but have to be included. Let us start with those who have won the European Cup, even if just the once.  How can we not include the likes of Villa, Forest and Celtic? Who amongst us, of a certain vintage, can forget the Villa of Mortimer, Morley and Shaw? The Forest of Clough, McGovern, Withe and Robertson?  The Celtic of Jock Stein, Tommy Gemmell and Jimmy Johnstone? – the first UK winners of the competition and indeed the first Northern European winners according to the truth engine that is Wikipedia. Although I, and many Northern Italians, would venture to suggest that Milan is certainly Northern and not Southern Europe.  

Unfortunately, and as distasteful as it may seem, we have to include both FC Chelski 2003 – 6 league titles, only 1 before Abramovich and 2 CL’s, none before Abramovich; and FC Manchester C130y -10 Premier League titles, 2 before the oil money arrived (the last of which was in 1968) and 1 CL, in no way down to the influx of money. It would be churlish to exclude them, dubious as the provenance of their European and domestic histories are. Paris St Germain, only formed in 1970 are another example. The recency bias I propose to include in the algorithm, which works against Ajax, works for these otherwise insignificant clubs. 

Once we strip out European competition – and for the purposes of this exercise I have excluded minor competitions, which I define as all those below the Champions League in Europe and below the principal domestic cup in England – we look at the clubs with a record of domestic success. 

Arsenal meet these criteria with 13 league title wins and a record 14 FA Cups.  Everton have 9 league titles and 5 FA Cup wins. Both haven’t been out of the top-flight for a long time, in Arsenal’s case in living memory. Others, however, are often included under the “Big Club” banner, but have far less to crow about. Spurs have 2 league titles, the last one as we know more than 60 years ago. They have 8 FA Cup wins, the last being 34 years ago. Newcastle have 6 FA cup wins, the last in 1955 and only 4 league titles, the last in 1927.  Blackburn Rovers have the same number of FA Cup wins as Newcastle and only one league title fewer. Is anyone calling them a “Big Club”?  A storied club. A club with a great deal of history, for sure, but a big club?

The component which figures next, and which in modern times has risen in importance in our hypothetical equation, is that of filthy lucre. The days of clubs being owned by the local butcher, baker or candlestick maker done-good are well and truly over.  As football has grown in popularity, as the football world has grown wealthier, more interlinked, the forces of progress have enabled an evolution in terms of the finances supporting football and in particular the clubs in Europe. To the extent that they are now owned by states, or their sovereign wealth funds, hedge funds or billionaires.  In turn, this has enabled those clubs to put distance between themselves and the bunch in terms of the players they can buy and the infrastructure – physical, organisational, human – they can deploy.  

The difference between the English top-flight and the European leagues becomes most apparent here. Many of the Premier League clubs, certainly those who have longevity in the division, now have the resources to compete strongly, as we have seen with the success in European competition over the last 10 years. This, I suspect, is a component of our equation which is becoming stronger. However, until it delivers the requisite success as mentioned above, it is not enough for me on its own to push clubs into the bracket we are discussing. 

Sheer numbers of fans, both through the turnstiles and in terms of size, number and dispersion of fan clubs is also a component.  This is, of course, linked to financial power. The difficulty here is in the latter two classes which are easily manipulated and difficult to verify. Undoubtedly Manchester United and Liverpool have massive overseas fan clubs. You only have to travel to Asia to see the support these two have, way in excess of any other. Other clubs are playing catch-up, but overseas tv revenue is huge. Of course, this is equally split giving of itself no advantage within the Premier League. I would like to see how many worldwide supporters actually buy genuine club merchandise. Bums on seats is the real measure here and the sheer size of football grounds, regularly filled, helps propel some clubs into the next rung on the ladder.  Newcastle regularly fill their ground. Of course, bar Sunderland, they have no other professional club within 30 miles. The next closest is Middlesbrough, nearly 40 miles away. It is easy to pull in a crowd when you have a huge, unopposed catchment area.   

Finally, there is something to be said for including some clubs as “Big” on the basis of a storied past. I’m afraid these don’t make the cut for me.  The same recency bias I factored into the success criterion above comes into play here as well. Factors such as when these clubs were last in the top division, when they last achieved success. It is truly sad to see the lowly standing and travails of clubs such as Sheffield Wednesday. Perhaps a more accurate description for these would be historic clubs. Clubs with a big past, playing huge roles in the history of British football, and thus providing the bedrock for the modern Premier League in particular. As such they are to be valued and cherished. Huddersfield Town have won  3 league titles. These were on the spin. Like another club I could mention. This is only 1 fewer league title than Newcastle, 1 more than Spurs. But the last was in 1926. Preston have won the league twice, the last time in 1890. To apply the designation “Big Club” is to my mind patronising and inaccurate in equal measure.  I do not make these points to ridicule these great clubs. 

Our Arsenal still have some way to go to get into the ultra-elite. I believe Mikel, backed by a hugely supportive board, are on their way to doing it. There are other clubs which I seriously doubt will ever make it.  You know who you are. 

So, thoughts? 

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All things end of course and sadly our excellent winning run and clean sheet bonanza both ended away at Sunderland yesterday (or about 4.30AM today if you happened to be in Japan) as we drew 2-2 after conceding two goals for the first time this season. It was not the end of the world, though it stung at the time as late, late goals against always do, especially against limited opponents playing what was basically punt and hope football.  I really don’t intend that to be disrespectful – Sunderland worked very hard in defence and did very well off the 0.5xg scraps that fell their way – but for our players I am sure there will be some disappointment at not taking home the three points. In the end some perspective might be best – we took 7 out of 9 points from three consecutive away trips in a week and with a squad short of several great players. Let’s put the doctors to work during the damned interlull and move on!

The 1st half – Sunderland 1 The Arsenal 0

The day had started with an XI pretty much as expected (a nod to Ned for the correct XI) and a bench full of the young and the very young (another nod, this time to the more experienced Kepa, White and Nørgaard). The game itself kicked off with the usual frenetic first 5 minutes as Sunderland put themselves about a bit (and yes Ballard’s elbow on Merino was a penalty to my mind and more importantly according to the rules of the game as well). Anyway, that point aside, I must admit that It was not a particularly entertaining watch as very little actual football was played, an “accidental” elbow here, a late foot there, basically dragged us down to their level. 

When we did get some play, we were much like a tired team on their third away trip in a week, not quite the sharpness of pass or zest that was needed. We did make a couple of chances, the best of them falling to Saka, I thought, until just after the half-hour the ref suddenly remembered he had some of those brightly coloured cards in his pocket and decided to book Zubimendi so he could share the yellow one with the crowd. I am only assuming that must have been the reason because there certainly wasn’t any footballing one. From the free-kick Sunderland went ahead as basically the ball ran their way, there was a nod down and Ballard blasted it past Raya. Could we have defended it better? I am sure we could and I am equally sure MA and the coaches will be pointing to some actions we could have taken but personally I felt we were a little unlucky. The ball bounced for them and Ballard did well when it came to him. If only William had done the same about 10 minutes later when he put an excellent chance into Row 20! 

The half-time whistle went and Sunderland took an undeserved lead into the break. Could we raise our game 2nd half? 

Half Time: Sunderland 1 The Arsenal 0

The 2nd half – Sunderland 1 The Arsenal 1

As we all know now, yes is the answer to the question. I felt that we started the second half with more determination and, in fact, it was Rice’s determination that got us going when he won the ball back from Le Fee in the Sunderland half, it was fed quickly via Eze and, I think, Merino into Saka. The Sunderland keeper had obligingly left a tiny gap at the near post and Bukayo drove it unerringly through the gap and into the back of the net, very good finish.

Sunderland 1 The Arsenal 2

After that our best period of the match followed, we played some nice football, made some good chances and really could and should have been ahead already by the time Leo Trossard took matters into his own hands and blasted home a very fine shot from just outside the area. Their keeper, I think I will call him Mr. Nearpost, had again obligingly left the door open a tad and it was more than enough for Leo. A great goal to cap off an excellent performance on the day from Leo. By this point, the travelling faithful seemed in fine voice and all was well in the world. I suspect I was one among many expecting us to see it out in our usual style and go home with the points but it was not to be, for once. Raya was called into action more in the last 15 minutes than the preceding 80 and did well not, once, twice but three times to deny Sunderland until finally we made a substitution on 88 minutes and brought Mosquera on for Eze to give ourselves some extra insurance at the back. 

Sunderland 2 The Arsenal 2

Unfortunately, it didn’t work this time as another cross was aimed at Ballard who nodded it down for Brian Brobby to flick it acrobatically past the onrushing Raya. Again, could we have done more defensively? Yes, sure. Could Raya have stayed on his line? Yes, sure. Will Brobby get that flick wrong nine times out ten? Yes, sure. However, we are not going to win every header and Raya does get off his line, quickly and aggressively and it often works to our advantage. I see no point in whining when it doesn’t and if your name is Brian Brobby you probably need a bit of luck sometimes. There was still time for Ballard to display a complete lack of gratitude for the fine upbringing we provided by getting out well to block a last chance for Merino after Mr Nearpost finally remembered he had one and did well to block a Cala header, and that was that. 

Full Time: Sunderland 2 The Arsenal 2

I can’t say I enjoyed this morning’s rewatch of an early evening robbery any more than I did first time round and suppose it is natural to ask what went wrong after a long winning streak comes to an end. However, as I read round the media and the Goonerverse to get a feel of how others saw the game I was quite surprised at the Plucky Little Sunderland Deserved A Draw narrative in several papers. They have a large stadium and 45,000 plus crowds! They are certainly not little and in all honesty I cannot see how they deserved a draw either, it’s their choice to play the way they do and that’s up to them but I see no reason to pretend it’s good football that merits any particular praise. Sure, they give 100% but then so do most teams in the Premier League and some smaller clubs than Sunderland play nice football too. However, I will try not to be sourpuss and grumpy face and at least some of our “special” supporters made me laugh this morning as I read the armchair criticism of Raya, Gabriel, Rice and Arteta for the goals, substitutions and only getting a draw. Any awareness of the role of Mikel and those players in our longest clean sheet run in more than a century and 10 wins on the trot had faded more quickly than a Leo smash into the top corner. 😊 

On we go then, unbeaten run intact, top of the league and top-class reinforcements on the way, it’s good to be a Gooner!!

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